Cheap Convexity

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It’s been an exhausting few months for the UK. An energy crisis, Trussenomics, Kwasi Kwarteng, LDI blowups, BoE QE, BoE rate hikes and now the potential for fiscal austerity. One of the interesting themes in markets since Rishi Sunak has taken over as Prime Minister in the UK has…
Jon Turek
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While the dollar has been selling off quite meaningfully and the market continues to re-adjust post last weeks promising CPI data, I wanted to do a blog…
Jon Turek
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I think one of the more topical questions in markets right now is the question of whether or not the US dollar has peaked. One of the more definitive…
Jon Turek
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We have come along way from September FOMC and Jackson Hole. Following these two episodes, markets panicked because the thought was a dropdown in the…
Jon Turek
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A couple months ago I did a blogpost called, “What if it Works?” The idea of the post was to first outline the potential next steps for the BoJ in the…
Jon Turek
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After being relatively quiet over the past few months, Brainard has now given two speeches in the matter of weeks that are pointing to her preference…
Jon Turek
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Last Friday I attended a conference at the NY Federal Reserve. The topic of the conference was financial stability and monetary policy. There were a…
Jon Turek
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Something that is now clear post the UK “mini” budget last week, but has really been true for a while now is, the marginal factor in markets over the…
Jon Turek
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